IIMS Journal of Management Science
issue front

Subrata Roy1 and Monika Pal1

First Published 7 Nov 2023. https://doi.org/10.1177/0976030X231202623
Article Information Volume 15, Issue 2 July 2024
Corresponding Author:

Subrata Roy, Department of Commerce, Mahatma Gandhi Central University, Motihari, East Champaran, 845401, Bihar, India.
Email: subrata1_roy@yahoo.com

1Department of Commerce, Mahatma Gandhi Central University, Motihari, Bihar, India

Creative Commons Non Commercial CC BY-NC: This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 License (http://www.creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits non-Commercial use, reproduction and distribution of the work without further permission provided the original work is attributed.

Abstract

This article has examined the impact of selected macroeconomic variables on economic growth in the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-sectoral, Technical and Economic Cooperation (BIMSTEC). Thus, quarterly data have been considered over a period from 2000 to 2021. The study has taken into consideration the Cobb–Douglas production function as a model specification to examine the above issue. It has been found that agricultural production is an important macro-economic determinant to justify economic growth in BIMSTEC and its members. However, foreign direct investment is a significant macroeconomic factor for economic growth in BIMSTEC and also in India. Moreover, GDP in Bhutan, Sri Lanka and Thailand is positively and significantly affected by the balance of trade.

Keywords

AGP, BIMSTEC, EMP, FDI, BoT

References

Acaravci, A., & Ozturk, I. (2012). Foreign direct investment, export and economic growth: Empirical evidence from new EU countries. Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting, 2(2), 52–67.

Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1991a). Growth and unemployment. The Review of Economic Studies, 61(3), 477-494.

Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1991b). A model of growth through creative destruction. Econometrica, 60(2), 323-351.

Ajakaiye, O., Jerome, A. T., Nabena, D., & Alaba, O. A. (2015). Understanding the relationship between growth and employment in Nigeria. WIDER Working Paper, No. 2015/124.

Alagidede, P., Panagiotidis, T., & Zhang, X. (2011). Causal relationship between stock prices and exchange rates. The Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 20(1), 67–86.

Ali, A. A., Ali, A. Y. S., & Dalmar, M. S. (2018). The impact of imports and exports performance on the economic growth of Somalia. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 10(1), 110–119.

Ali, M. M., & Medhekar, A. (2016). Bilateral trade through official channel between India and Bangladesh: An analysis with the use of Time series forecasting models. Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development, 37(3), 135.

Antwi, S., Mills, E. F., & Zhao, X. (2013). Impact of macroeconomic factors on economic growth in Ghana: A cointegration analysis. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 3(1), 35–45.

Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297.

Awokuse, T. O. (2007). Causality between exports, imports and economic growth: Evidence from transitional economies. Economics Letters, 94, 389-395.

Baines, D. (2003). Economic history in the 20th century. London School of Economics and Political Science, University of London, United Kingdom.

Bakari, S. (2017). The long run and short-run impacts of exports on economic growth: Evidence from Gabon.

Banik, N. (2007). The BIMSTEC-FTA and its relevance. CSIRD Discussion Paper, No. 36. Centre for Studies in International Relations and Development.

Barro, R. J., & Sala-i-Martin, X. (2004). Determinants of economic growth in a panel of countries. Annals of Economics and Finance, 4, 231–274.

Batra, A. (2010). Asian economic integration and sub-regionalism: A case study of the BIMSTEC. International Studies, 47(1), 1–25.

Bayraktar, N., & Wang, Y. (2006). Banking sector openness and economic growth. Policy Research Working Paper, No. 4019, World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/9273 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO

Bhattacharya, R., & Gupta, A. S. (2015). Food inflation in India: Causes and consequences. National Institute of Public Finance and Policy, Working Paper, No. 151.

Bhattacharya, S. K. (2007). Does BIMSTEC–Japan economic cooperation promote intra-regional trade? The case for free trade agreement. CSIRD Discussion Paper, No. 23. Centre for Studies in International Relations and Development.

Boltho, A. & Glyn, A. (1995). Can macroeconomic policies raise employment? International Labour Review, 134(4–5), 451–470.

Boserup, E. (1996). Development theory: An analytical framework and selected application. Population and Development Review, 22(3), 505–515.

Bruno, M., & Easterly, W. (1998). Inflation crises and long-run growth. Journal of Monetary Economics, 41, 3–26.

Burnside, C., & Dollar, D. (2000). Aid, policies and growth. The American Economic Review, 90(4), 847–868.

Carbaugh, R. J. (2011). International economics (13th ed.). Cengage Learning. https://wyamK.files.wordpress.com/2019/08/international-economics_30.pdf

Caves, R. (1996). Multinational enterprise and economic analysis. Cambridge University Press.

Caves, R. E. (1974). Multinational firms, competition and productivity in host country markets. Economica, 41, 176–193.

Chang, C., & Mendy, M. (2012). Economic growth and openness in Africa: What is the empirical relationship? Applied Economics Letters, 19(18), 1903–1907.

Chaudhary, G. M., Hashmi, S. H., & Khan, M. A. (2016). Exchange rate and foreign trade: A comparative study of major South Asian and South-East Asian countries. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 230, 85–93.

Chen, B., & Feng, Y. (2000). Determinants of economic growth in China: Private enterprise, education and openness. A time series analysis. SOP Transaction on Economic Research. China Economic Review, 11(1), 1–15.

Chia, Y. E. (2015). Export-led growth hypothesis: Empirical evidence from selected sub-Saharan African countries. Procedia Economics and Finance, 35, https://core.uk/download/pdf/81974455.pdf

Ciccone, A., & Jarocinski, M. (2010). Determinants of economic growth: Will data tell? American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2(4), 222–246.

Collier, O., & Dercon, S. (2009). African agriculture in 50 Years: Smallholders in a rapidly changing world. Paper presented at the 2009 Food and Agriculture Organization Expert Meeting on “How to feed the world in 2050.” ftp://ftp.fao.org/docrep/fao/012/ak983e/ak983e00.pdf

Das, A., Senapati, M., & John, J. (2009). Impact of agricultural credit on agriculture production: An empirical analysis in India. Reserve Bank of India Occasional Papers, 30(2), 75–107.

Dash, R. K. (2009). Revisited export-led growth hypothesis: An empirical study on India. South Asia Economic Journal, 10(2), 305–324.

Dopke, J. (2001). The employment intensity of growth in Europe. Kiel Working Paper, 1021. http://www.ifw-members.ifw.de/publications/theemployment-intensity-ofgrowth-in-europe/kap1021.pdf

Doppelhofer, G., Miller, R. I., & Sala-i-Martin, X. (2004). Determinants of long-term growth: A Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) approach. OECD Economics Department Working Papers 266, OECD Publishing.

Dritsaki, C., & Stiakakis, E. (2014). Foreign direct investments, exports, and economic growth in Croatia: A time series analysis. Procedia Economics and Finance, 14, 181–190.

Dumitrescu, E., & Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450–1460.

Easterly, W. R., & Wetzel, D. L. (1989). Policy determinants of growth: Survey of theory and evidence. Policy, Planning and Research Working Papers Series No. 343, World Bank, 1–41.

Elbeydi, K. R., Hamuda, A. M., & Gazda, V. (2010). The relationship between export and economic growth in Libya Arab Jamahiriya. Theoretical and Applied Economics, 1(1), 69.

Farahmand, M. A., & Ethem, E. S. E. N. (2020). The relationship between trade and economic growth: The case of Afghanistan. Ekonomik ve Sosyal Arastirmalar Dergisi, 16(1), 81–97.

Fischer, K. W. (1983). Illuminating the process of moral development: A commentary. Monographs of the Society for Research in Child Development, 48, 97–107.

Fischer, S. (1992). Macroeconomic stability and growth. Cuadenos de Economica, 29(87), 171–186.

Frankel, M. (1962). The production function in allocation and growth: A synthesis. The American Economic Review, 52(5), 996–1022.

Frieden, J. A., & Rogowski, R. (1996). The impact of the international economy on national policies: An analytical overview. Internationalization and Domestic Policies, 15.

Gokmenoglu, K. K., Amin, M. Y., & Taspinar, N. (2015). The relationship among international trade, financial development and economic growth: The case of Pakistan. Procedia Economics and Finance, 25, 489–496.

Golait, R. (2007). Current issues in agriculture credit in India: An assessment. Reserve Bank of India.

Grossman, G. M., & Helpman, E. (1991). Quality ladders in the theory of growth. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(1), 43–61.

Grossman, G. M., & Helpman, E. (1992). Innovation and growth in the global economy. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 10(2), 323–324.

Gujarati, D. N. (2004). Basic econometrics (4th ed.). Tata McGraw-Hill Publishing Company Limited.

Hachicha, N. (2003). Exports, export composition and growth: A simultaneous error-correction model for Tunisia. International Economic Journal, 17(1), 101–120.

Hair, J. F., Black, W. C., & Babin, B. J., Anderson, R. E., & Tatham, R. L. (2011). Multivariate data analysis (6th ed.). Pearson.

Hemzawi, B. A., & Umutoni, N. (2021). Impact of exports and imports on the economic growth: A case study of Rwanda from 2006 to 2020. Master Thesis, Department of Business Administration, Jonkoping University, pp. 1–63.

Herman, E. (2011). The impact of economic growth process on employment in European Union countries. Romanian Economic Journal, 14(42), 47–67.

Ibrahiem, D. M. (2015). Renewable electricity consumption, foreign direct investment and economic growth in Egypt: An ARDL approach. Procedia Economics and Finance, 30, 313–323.

Islam, N. (1995). Growth empirics: A panel data approach. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(4), 1127–1170.

Jana, S. S., Sahu, T. N., & Pandey, K. D. (2019). Foreign direct investment and economic growth in India: A sector-specific analysis. Asia-Pacific Journal of Management Research and Innovation, 15(1–2), 53–67.

Jijian, Z., Twum, A. K., Agyemang, A. O., Edziah, B. K., & Ayamba, E. C. (2021). Empirical study on the impact of international trade and foreign direct investment on carbon emission for belt and road countries. Energy Reports, 7, 7591–7600.

Kang, J. W., & Dagli, S. (2018). International trade and exchange rates. Journal of Applied Economics, 21(1), 84–105.

Kaur, G., Sarin, V., & Dhami, J. K. (2017). Causality between exports and GDP: An empirical evidence from BIMSTEC region. Current Issues in Economics and Finance, 77–94.

Khan, J., & Khan, I. (2018). The impact of macroeconomic variables on stock prices: A case study of Karachi stock exchange. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 9(13), 15–25.

Knight, M., Loayza, N., & Villanueva, D. (1993). Testing the neoclassical theory of economic growth: A panel data approach. Staff Papers (International Monetary Fund), 40(3), 512–541.

Kokko, A. (1994). Technology, market characteristics and spillovers. Journal of Development Economics, 43(2), 279–293.

Lee, J. W. (1995). Capital goods imports and long-run growth. Journal of Development Economics, 48, 91–110.

Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 3–42.

Madi, A. S. M., Gong, J., & Tozo, W. K. (2020). Impact of agricultural productivity on economic growth and poverty alleviation in ECOWAS countries: An empirical analysis. Journal of Scientific Reports, 2(1), 97–125.

Mandloi, A., & Bansal, M. (2014). Inclusive economic growth with employment generation and poverty reduction. International Journal of Management and International Business Studies, 4(1), 109–116.

Manh, H. P., Ngoc, V. N., & Dao, T. T. H. (2014). Relationship between economic growth and employment in Vietnam. JED No. 222, 40–50.

Mankiw, N. G., Romer, D., & Weil, D. N. (1992). A contribution to the empirics of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(2), 407–437.

Mathiyazhagan, K. M. (2005). Impact of foreign direct investment on Indian economy: A sectoral level analysis. ISAS Working Paper, No. 6.

Mawugnon, A. K., & Qiang, F. (2011). The relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Togo (1991–2009). Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Innovation and Management, 7, 1269–1273.

Maxwell, S., (2004). Launching the DFID consultation: New directions for agriculture in reducing poverty. Department of International Development. http://dfid-agriculture-consultation.nri.org/launchpapers/simonmaxwell.html

McKinnon, R. I. (1973). Money and capital in economic development. The Brookings Institution.

Mehrara, M., & Firouzjaee, B. A. (2011). Granger causality relationship between export growth and GDP growth in developing countries: Panel cointegration approach. International Journal of Humanities and Social Science, 1(16), 223–231.

Mundell, R. (1963). Inflation and real interest rate. Journal of Political Economy, 71(3), 280–283.

Nwaolisa, E. F., & Chijindu, A. A. (2016). The relationship between index of industrial production and stock market liquidity: A co-integration evidence from Stock exchange of Nigeria’s value of stock traded ratio. Frontiers of Accounting and Finance, 1(1). http://dx.doi.org/10.20936/FAF/160104

Pattanayak, U., & Mallick, M. (2017). Agricultural production and economic growth in India: An econometric analysis. Asian Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies, 15(3), 62–66.

Phan Thúc Huân (2006). Kinh te phát trien, Hà Noi. Thong Kê Publisher.

Pindyck, R. S., & Somalino, A. (1993). Economic stability and aggregate investment. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 8, 259–318.

Reardon, T., Berdegue, J., Barrett, C. B., Stamoulis, K., Haggblade, S., & Hazell, P. (2006). Household income diversification into rural nonfarm activities. In Steven Haggblade, Peter Hazell, & T. Reardon (Eds.), Transforming the rural nonfarm economy. Johns Hopkins University Press.

Roy, S. (2020). Causal relationship between stock market and macroeconomic variables: Indian evidence. EuroEconomica, 39(3), 227–247.

Sahni, P., & Atri, V. N. (2012). Export-led growth in India: An empirical investigation. International Journals of Marketing and Technology, 2(7), 283–298.

Sahoo, D., & Mathiyazhagan, M. K. (2003). Economic growth in India: Does foreign direct investment inflow matter? The Singapore Economic Review, 48, 151–171.

Sahoo, D., Mathiyazhagan, M. K., & Parida, P. (2002). Is foreign direct investment an engine of growth? Evidence from the Chinese economy. Savings and Development, 4, 419–439.

Sala-i-Martin, X., Doppelhofer, G., & Miller, R. I. (2004). Determinants of long-term growth: A Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) approach. American Economic Review, 94(4), 813–835.

Schmid, G. (2008). Full employment in Europe: Managing labour market transitions and risks. Edward Elgar.

Sener, S., & Delican, D. (2019). The causal relationship between innovation, competitiveness and foreign trade in developed and developing countries. Procedia Computer Science, 158, 533–540.

Seyfried, W. (2011). Examining the relationship between employment and economic growth in the ten largest states. South Western Economic Review, 32, 13–24.

Sharma, A., & Panagiotidis, T. (2005). An analysis of exports and growth in India: Co-integration and causality evidence (1971–2001). Review of Development Economics, 9(2), 232–248.

Shaw, E. S. (1973). Financial deepening in economic development. Oxford University Press.

Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 23(1), 3–14.

World Bank (1990). Adjustment lending policies for sustainable growth. Policy and Research Series.

Yenipazarli, A., & Yilmaz, H. (2016). Exports, economic growth and currency depreciation: An empirical study on Turkish economy (2003–2015). International Journal of Business and Management Studies, 5(1), 97–104.


Make a Submission Order a Print Copy